The rain has mostly moved out of SE LA with only some lingering showers remaining. There is still the chances for locally heavy rain and some flooding over Coastal MS. Otherwise, sun should return with temperature in the lower 80s.

.TONIGHT...Mostly clear. Cooler with lows around 60. Northwest
winds 5 to 10 mph. 
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny, cooler with highs in the lower 70s.
Temperature falling into the mid 60s in the afternoon. Northwest
winds 15 to 20 mph with gusts up to 30 mph. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Cooler with lows in the upper
40s. North winds 15 to 20 mph. 
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Northwest winds 10 to
15 mph. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the mid 40s. West winds 10 to
15 mph. 
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s. 
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows around 50. Highs
in the mid 70s. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid
60s. Highs in the upper 70s. 

Invest 99L

The NHC has issued an Invest for the area of disturbance weather in the Caribbean. Invest 99L. It is predicted the undergo tropical cyclone genesis in the next few days and form a depression as conditions are favorable for development. Still very early and since nothing has formed the computer modeling is low accuracy in the long term. But ensemble trending has it pulling up into the Gulf of Mexico and the trend is a pull to the East. Unfortunately, this is looking more like a Florida storm. Everyone from the panhandle to the keys should be keeping an eye on this and preparing for tropical weather or hurricane impacts as soon as next week.  Here are the operational model mosaic, ensembles for GFS, EURO, Canadian as well as the intensity mosaic. #SELAWX

Three Day Forecast

 Three day forecast and the coastal flood advisory. Unfortunately the little rain we’ve gotten has not put a dent in the drought. Nor has it done anything to help put out the marsh fires burning underground.

Rain Rain Rain

 It’s going to be rainy for a few days. It’ll clear out Wednesday. Drive safe! #SELAWX

Storms Diving South

 9/7/23 5:25pm Storms diving South across the area with a cold front. Local flooding a possibility. Stay weather aware! #SELAWX

RAPID INTENSIFICATION SCENARIO!

 RAPID INTENSIFICATION SCENARIO! The hurricane specific models had locked on with the formation of a center of circulation and it’s not good. We will see a CAT3 or 4 major hurricane in the Gulf of Mexico making landfall on the Florida panhandle. Those in the path of this storm make your evacuation plans now. Have a place to go. You have till Tuesday. This is going to be a killer storm. #SELAWX

Invest 93L

 Our Red Crayon area has now been designated INVEST 93L. So we are now getting spaghetti plots. Remember there is no center for the models to lock in on so the plots will change. There is some meandering forecast over and around the Yucatan for the next couple of days. So do not rely on the lines of the plots yet. The area of concern, is the upper and Eastern Gulf Coast from central Louisiana to Miami. This includes the entire West coast of Florida and the Keys. Of course an upper Gulf Coast landfall could be catastrophic as there is the chance for rapid intensification. While it is more likely to be a minimal hurricane. PLEASE MAKE PLANS FOR EVACUATION! Have some where to go. Listen to your local officials for guidance. With that said. Here is the latest from the NHC. Also the EURO ensembles, Operational Intensification Plots, GFS Ensembles, and the Operational Mosaic. We should have more hurricane specific modeling out shortly. #SELAWX