6/17/23 Tropical Discussion

 Eastern Tropical Atlantic (AL92): A tropical wave extends along 

27W, from 05N to 14N, moving W at 15-20 kt, with a broad 1011 mb 
low just east of the wave axis 10N27W. Scattered moderate 
convection is observed from 08N to 10N between 25W and 30W. 
Environmental conditions appear conducive for additional 
development, and a tropical depression is likely to form by the 
early to middle portion of next week while the system moves 
westward at 15 to 20 mph across the eastern and central tropical 
Atlantic. The is a medium (50%) chance of tropical cyclone 
development over the next 48 hours, and a high (70%) chance of 
development through the next seven days. Please refer to the 
latest Tropical Weather Outlook at www.hurricanes.gov, for more 
details.