The Ensemble Models are indicating a strong possibility of cyclonic development in about 5 days as a strong tropical wave is coming off the African continent into the Eastern Atlantic. While there is a good model signature for possible development. There is less support for it holding together in the 5 to 10 day. So we may see the NHC yellow crayon for this area soon. But at this point it’s just an area to watch. #SELAWX
A heat advisory is in effect on Friday from 10 AM to 8 PM. Dangerous heat index values from 108 to 112 are expected in southeast Louisiana and southern Mississippi. Take frequent breaks in the shade or air conditioning, drink plenty of water, even if not thirsty, check on elderly, ill neighbors and family members, bring pets indoors or provide shade and plenty of water.
An area of low pressure is expected to form in a day or so several
hundred miles to the east-northeast of Bermuda. This system is
expected to interact with an upper-level trough, and could acquire
some subtropical or tropical characteristics during the middle to
latter part of this week while it moves generally eastward. By the
weekend, the low should turn northward bringing the system over
cooler waters, likely limiting additional development.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent.
Excessive Heat Warning is in effect from 10 AM to 8 PM on Saturday. High temperatures will climb to near 100 degrees during the afternoon, and this will push heat index values to between 113 and 117 degrees. Stay hydrated and limit time outdoors to reduce exposure to the heat.
The rain has mostly moved out of SE LA with only some lingering showers remaining. There is still the chances for locally heavy rain and s...
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