More Of The Same 07/29/22

 Summer continues with the hot and muggy conditions with chances of showers and storms especially in the afternoon. @SELAWX

Typical Summer Pattern Continues

 Typical Summer time pattern. Temps will be near average with lows in the 70s and highs in the lower to middle 90s, and there will be scattered showers and storms popping up from the late morning into the early evening hours tomorrow. #SELAWX

7/22/22 Showers and HRRR Model

 This afternoon's showers on the satellite video with radar overlay and the HRRR model through tomorrow afternoon. Showing clouds and simulated radar

Heat Advisory 7/20/22

 A Heat Advisory in effect from 11AM to 7PM CDT. A passing shower or storm could bring temporary relief but won't be much. Take precautions if you plan to be outdoors for an extended period. Drink lots of water and take frequent cool down breaks. Check on the elderly.

 All Clear!

 

Rainmaker for the Northern Gulf Coast

 NHC has the Northern Gulf highlighted for potential tropical development of 30% in the next 5 days. Regardless of cyclonic formation there is an increased rain chance associated with this stalled out frontal system. So here is the model estimated total rainfall for the next 5 days. EURO and GFS. #SELAWX

EURO 5 Day Rain Totals

GFS 5 Day Rain Totals

Upper Gulf Development Possible

 Computer model runs are starting to consistently sniff out a North Gulf Low pressure forming in about the 7 days' time frame. July 17-18ish. It doesn’t look like much more than a rain maker. So, all interest from the upper Texas coast to the central Florida panhandle need to watch this closely. GFS, EURO, and the ICON are all in agreement. 

EURO

GFS

ICON

GEFS Ensemble

EURO Ensemble