Computer model runs are starting to consistently sniff out a North Gulf Low pressure forming in about the 7 days' time frame. July 17-18ish. It doesn’t look like much more than a rain maker. So, all interest from the upper Texas coast to the central Florida panhandle need to watch this closely. GFS, EURO, and the ICON are all in agreement.
EURO
GFS
ICON
GEFS Ensemble