NHC is highlighting this area with a 20% chance of tropical cyclone formation in the 7 day forecast. It has little model support but we will just have to wait and see. The MJO will be coming back into a favorable phase over the Atlantic ITCZ. Aug 16 - Sept 10. The SAL will be weakening as well. So it could be on like Donkey Kong.
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Sun Aug 13 2023
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
1. Eastern Tropical Atlantic:
A broad area of low pressure is forecast to develop during the
middle part of this week over the far eastern Atlantic between the
Cabo Verde Islands and the west coast of Africa. Some slow
development of this system is possible later this week as it moves
west-northwestward or northwestward across the eastern Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.
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